An Overview of Arizona’s Crime Rate in 2019

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This article is an overview of Arizona’s crime rate for the past several years. The goal is to see whether the crime situation improved or trended in the other direction.

The Crime Rate in Arizona (2014-2018)

Crime data from 2014 showed that Arizona was the 10th most dangerous state in the country.

2014 Arizona Crime Statistics:

  • Violent Crime Rate: 397.2 per 100,000 residents (16th highest)

  • Murder Rate: 4.6 per 100,000 residents (20th highest)

  • Unemployment Rate: 5.8% (9th highest)

  • Incarceration Rate: 585 per 100,000 residents (4th highest)

Violent crime, property crime, larceny, and vehicle theft were among the highest when compared to other states. Violent crime numbers continued to increase in 2015-16 while the murder rate stayed pretty much the same.

Arizona’s crime rate spiked further in 2017, the highest in the past ten years. For instance, the state’s violent crime rate of 505.7 per 100,000 people well exceeded the national average of 382.9.

2017 Arizona Crime Statistics

  • Violent Crime Rate: 505.7 per 100,000 residents (9th highest)

  • Murder Rate: 6.0 per 100,000 residents (17th highest)

  •  Unemployment Rate: 4.8% (5th highest)

  • Incarceration Rate: 569 per 100,000 residents (5th highest)

It’s worth noting that Arizona has one of the highest rates of incarceration in the United States. However, crime rates in the state remain high, despite record-breaking numbers of people sent to prison. The prevalence of serious crimes such as robbery and aggravated assault may have something to do with the prison numbers. Due to high incarceration rates, an Arizona arrest records search sounds like a good idea if you need to verify someone’s bonafides.

Violent crime and murder numbers for 2018 dropped to 474.9 and 5.1 per 100,000 residents, respectively.

Aggregated Data from the Uniform Crime Reporting Program (UCR)

The Arizona Department of Public Safety (AZDPS) releases an annual report based on aggregated data from the FBI’s UCR program. A section of the report featured “Arizona’s Crime Clock,” meant to convey the annual reported crime relative to frequency.

According to data used by the crime clock, Arizona has:

  • One murder every 27 hours

  • One rape every two hours, 44 minutes

  • One robbery every one hour, 21 minutes

  • One aggravated assault every 28 minutes, 34 seconds

  • One human trafficking incident every 166 hours, 39 minutes

  • One burglary every 17 minutes, 32 seconds

  • One theft every three minutes, 52 seconds

  • One motor theft every 29 minutes, 25 seconds

  • One arson every five hours and 43 minutes

Crime statistics reveal that Arizona experienced:

  • One violent crime every 18 minutes, 30 seconds

  • One major crime every 2 minutes, 28 seconds

  • One property crime every two minutes and 50 seconds

Based on the available data, it seems that the state’s crime rate is experiencing a slight downward trend. The crime forecast for 2019 is also expected to be lower than in 2016. Lesser crime is a welcome reprieve for residents and businesses in the Grand Canyon State.

Arizona Crime Summary, 2018

Here’s a short version of the AZDPS study on the crime rate in Arizona for 2018.

Crime Index

  • In 2018, there were 213,784 reported Crime Index Offenses

  • The Arizona crime rate for 2018 was 3,054.1 crimes per 100,000 people based on an estimated population of 7,076,199

  • The highest recorded incidence of offenses was January with 19,710, while February recorded the lowest with 16,644

  • The value of stolen property totaled $193,018,571

  • The value of recovered stolen property totaled $47,202,367 or a recovery rate of 24.45%

  • 40.32% of the total stolen property were motor vehicles

  • Stolen motor vehicles accounted for 51.75% of the recovered property

Arrests and Clearances

  • A total of 43,856 people got arrested for index offenses in 2018

  • Among those arrested were 4,472 juveniles and 39,384 adults

  • Females accounted for 30.41% of all index arrests, while males accounted for 69.58%

  • There were 41,097 clearances of reported index offenses in 2018 (19.22%)

  • 8.16% of this total represented juveniles

Total Arrest Summary

  • A total of 240,505 people were arrested in 2018

  • Among the arrests, 218,271 were adults, and 22,234 were juveniles

  • Men accounted for 72.2% of all arrests, while females accounted for 27.8%

  • There were 43,856 arrests for Part I offenses, while 196,649 arrests were Part II offenses

You can read the AZDPS full report here.

Editor’s Notes

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